World fuel mix 2001 oil gas coal nucl renew 85% fossil 2100. International energy outlook 2019 is dedicated to the memory of linda doman. The scope is three scenarios for use and production of consumer devices, communication networks and data centers. While buildings sector energy intensity has improved in recent years, this has not been enough to offset rising energy demand. The ieo2017 is the first ed ition of this report to include mo del results through 2050, which are available on the ieo page of the eia website. Oil demand flattens out in the 2030s, and coal use edges lower. Many people in the world are currently experiencing dramatic shifts in lifestyle as their. This work presents an estimation of the global electricity usage that can be ascribed to communication technology ct between 2010 and 2030. Chart data can be accessed by rightclicking the chart in the ppt file. Asiaworld energy outlook 2016 international energy forum. Forecast of solar pv energy demand globally 2024 statista.
World energy scenarios 10 key messages 1 energy system complexity will increase by 2050. In the reference case, world energy consumption totals 911 quadrillion british thermal units btu in 2050287 quadrillion btu in the oecd countries and 624 quadrillion btu in the nonoecd countries. Eias international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 presents an assessment of longterm world energy markets. The united states has started a process to implement taxes on. Very broadly speaking the more energy we consume, the more stuff we can get, the more places we can, and the faster we can get there. The global energy efficiency and demand database aims to monitor and benchmark data for most efficiency countries with a large data coverage on serveral sectors. The 2018 edition provides updated analysis to show what the latest data, technology trends and policy announcements might mean for the energy sector to 2040. On a per capita basis, there is a huge spurt of growth between world war ii and 1970. In the new policies scenario, rising incomes and an extra 1. Enerdemand provides a unique selection of data to monitor energy efficiency trends and access detailed information for the worlds most energyconsuming countries through an exclusive data collection process and recognised expertise, this service leverages the most reputable national and international information sources to provide energy consumption data by sector and by enduse, energy. Enerdata also provides a summarize about the world energy by country. However, this relationship between energy service demand and income, also known as the energy ladder, is not linear and it is. World energy efficiency and demand data enerdemand. Therefore the energy demand is calculated on the basis of statistical models describing the influence of climate factors and of operating conditions on the energy consumption 1.
Energy information administration of the outlook for international energy markets through 2050. This book discusses the characteristics of the demand for energyits response over time to changes in prices and in levels of economic activity and the role that energy plays as a consumption good and as a factor in industrial production. The increase would be around twice as large if it were not for continued improvements. This statistic represents the estimated world primary energy demand in 2000 and 2017 with projections for 2025 and 2040. The worlds population will increase from approximately 7 billion in 20 to approximately 8. Global demand for energy is increasing rapidly, because of population and economic growth, especially in emerging market economies. Since the world energy council last published its world energy scenarios in 2016, we have experienced three years of comparatively high, carboncentric energy demand and a marked acceleration in renewable energy developments. Database documentation 2019 edition 7 international energy agency 3. World historical oil, natural gas, and coal consumption from 1950 to 1964 is estimated from carbon dioxide emissions boden, marland, and andres 2017. World energy consumption since 1820 in charts our finite.
These changes provide the backdrop for the world energy outlook 2017, which includes a full update of energy demand and supply projections to 2040 based on different scenarios. Three different scenarios, best, expected, and worst, are set up, which include annual numbers of sold devices, data traffic and electricity. To accommodate this change, the industry subsectors have been reordered. Energy demand forecasting is an essential component for energy planning, formulating strategies and recommending energy policies. World energy council 20 5 energy landscape in 2050 the energy landscape we expect to see in 2050 will be quite different from how it looks today. The vast majority of the worlds energy is generated from nonrenewable sources, specifically oil, coal and gas figure 2. A model of oil supply and demand in this section, a model of world oil supply and demand is presented, along with an explanation of the identification problem that arises in its estimation.
Global energy demand will keep world burning fossil fuels. December 12, 2019 eia analysis explores indias projected energy consumption. More thorough treatments of the identification problem that arises in empirical analyses of supplyanddemandaregivenbyj. The energy gap 14 tw of additional power by 2050 33 tw.
Residential energy demand is expected to increase to 12. Additional data for refined oil production demand, natural gas, coal, hydroelectricity, nuclear energy and renewables. The numbers for now and in the future while most educated people know that there are around 8 billion people, very few know how much energy the world uses. Potential contribution of bioenergy to the worlds future. While accompanied by greater prosperity, rising demand creates new challenges. Canada is the worlds seventh largest energy consumer and has the highest per capita energy consumption among the worlds major economies. Pdf versions and powerpoint slide packs of the charts, maps and graphs, plus an excel workbook and database format of the data. The emissionsreduction side of this dual challenge will mean shifting to a.
Any decrease in energy consumption in the developed nations as a result of efficiency improvements and more conscious use of energy will be more than offset by an increase in demand in less developed parts of the world. The book is particularly concerned with differences in the structure of energy demand across countries and the relationship of energy demand and energy. Energy consumption in the united states is projected to increase in all of the enduse sectors, with the demand for transportation energy expected to increase the most 22. The team has developed the world energy model wem to explore how energy demand is evolving in different countries and sectors. We sincerely thank carol dahl, toshihiko nakata, john allen rogers, mike toman and craig meisner for their insightful comments. A generally accepted assumption is that world demand of energy will rise by 50% by 2050, with no growth in the oecd countries. Get energy statistics for global energy supply and demand by region. Using a range of data, the team can map out the most significant factors in policy, technology and consumer choice. Download the bp world energy app explore the world of energy from your tablet or smartphone. Energy security concerns can emerge as more consumers require ever more energy resources. Global energy consumption grew significantly in 2018, spurred by the sustained economic growth and rising demand in china, the worlds largest energy consumer since 2009.
In the nonoecd countries however, energy use and emissions will rise along with population. The associated world energy prices database also includes a selection of prices data for oecd member countries already covered within the energy prices and taxes database with larger. There was a fairly long period until about 2000 where percapita energy consumption was on a plateau. As people get richer they typically use more energy services. The aggregated flow other is removed from the database. Biomass utilisation will be optimised by processing in biorefineries for both products and energy carriers. Energy comparisons by primary energy consumption and corrections which are a better approximation of final energy demand can be explored here. Eia projects less than a quarter of the world s electricity generated from coal by 2050. Energy demand through energy ladders the energy ladder represents the way aggregate energy demand responds to changes in prices and incomes gdp.
Energy information administration of the outlook for international energy markets through 2050 pdf ppt note. Technology development is critical to ensuring that the world gets the energy it needs while mitigating environmental harm. Pdf the human race has carved a niche in the use of various energy sources. The report this year examines how chinas choices could reshape the global outlook for all fuels and technologies.
Gasification can help meet the worlds growing demand for. The economic crisis is largely responsible for this slow growth. The potential of the worlds renewable energy resources is much higher than the current global energy demand. The structure of world energy demand the mit press. For example, the target of 20% of final electricity consumption from renewables by 2020 has been set for the european union eu members 2. Flow definitions supply flow short name definition production indprod refers to the quantities of fuels extracted or produced, calculated after any operation for removal of inert matter or impurities e. Share of energy sources in world primary demand by scenario. For several years now, the world energy demand is characterized by the bullish chinese and indian markets, while developed countries struggle with stagnant economies, high oil prices, resulting in stable or decreasing energy. The energy consumption growth in the g20 slowed down to 2% in 2011, after the strong increase of 2010. Statistics on production, consumption and trade of oil, gas, coal, power and renewables. Figure 10 shows that world per capita energy consumption was increasing until the late 70s, hitting a peak in 1977. The world bank is working with india on sweeping energy efficiency measures across residential and industrial sectors that aim to avoid lifetime ghg emissions of 170 million tons of co2 and contribute to avoiding an estimated 10 gw of additional generation capacity. Pdf future trends on global energy demand researchgate.
A new pattern of geostrategic competition is emerging that is further straining the. The world energy outlook weo is the gold standard of longterm energy analysis. The international energy outlook presents an assessment by the u. The global energy statistical yearbook is enerdatas free, online application providing global energy statistics through an interactive interface with maps and graphs. Database documentation 2019 edition 5 international energy agency flows a new industry sector aggregate manufacturing has been added. Given these possibilities, the potential contribution of bioenergy to the world energy demand of some 467 ej per year 2004 may be increased considerably compared to the current 4555 ej. Global energy perspective reference case projects slower energy demand growth, particularly because. Global status report 2017 world green building council. You can also request for a free energy statistics extraction global or detailed. Asiaworld energy outlook 2016 1 executive summary world energy supply and demand outlook demand over the next 26 years through 2040, the worlds population will increase by 1. The 2019 outlook for energy is exxonmobil s latest view of energy demand and supply through 2040. The potential of the world s renewable energy resources is much higher than the current global energy demand. The world energy issues monitor provides a snapshot.
November 6, 2019 eia projects energy consumption in air transportation to increase through 2050. Given that global energy demand will grow, it is likely that prices will continue to be volatile. On global electricity usage of communication technology. World energy issues monitor 2020 world energy council. Global energy consumption grew significantly in 2018, spurred by the sustained economic growth and rising demand.
Meeting future energy demand will be a key challenge. Per capita world energy consumption, calculated by dividing world energy consumption shown in figure 1 by population estimates, based on angus maddison data. The graphics in this presen tation focus on projections through 2040. To increase energy security, renewables will have a significant share in the future energy mix. It also outlines an integrated way to meet multiple sustainable development goals.
Global energy demand means the world will keep burning fossil fuels, international energy agency warns published tue, nov 12 2019 7. Better energy efficiency, then, is an important way to reduce related risks. World energy efficiency and demand data enerdemand enerdata. Energy supply and demand 81 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 quadrillion btu figure 53. This was a period where consumers were shifting from oil to electricity where possible, a process that was typically more. Comparative risk assessment of severe accidents in the energy sector. Global energy demand electricity demandsupply gas demand oil demand carbon emissions 3 our global energy perspective provides a detailed demand outlook across these dimensions introduction key features of our global energy perspective illustrative level of detail road transport 5 vehicle segments passenger cars 2 and 3wheelers. World energy consumption since 1820 in charts our finite world. Energy consumption an overview sciencedirect topics. Although renewable energy is the worlds fastest growing form of energy, fossil fuels to continue to meet much of the worlds energy demand.
The global demand for energy is projected to rise by 56% between 2010 and 2040, with the greatest increase in the developing world. Energy demand models for policy formulation world bank. Global energy demand electricity demandsupply gas demand oil demand carbon emissions 2 editors note. Demand for electricity grows at its fastest rate in modern jazz and. Some parts of the energy sector, led by electricity, undergo rapid transformations. In 2016, the world energy council and its scenarios partners. For many years the outlook has helped inform exxonmobil s longterm business strategies, investment plans and research programs. Iea 2006 report, stating that eet can reduce the world energy needs in 2050. The current policies scenario shows what happens if the world continues along its present path, without any additional changes in policy. World energy consumption is the total energy produced and used by the entire human. Vision 2040 global scenarios for the oil and gas industry 7 trends four trends were identified as determinant for the oil and gas industry when the years that separate us from 2040 are analyzed. World energy outlook 2018 international energy agency.